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Bitcoin’s illiquid supply, a metric reflecting the portion of Bitcoin held by entities unlikely to sell, has surged to a record 14 million BTC. This represents the largest 30-day increase during the current bull market, exceeding even the gains seen at the end of the previous bear market in December 2022. The 30-day jump of 180,000 BTC signifies a significant shift in market dynamics.
This increase in illiquid supply is driven primarily by large-scale investors, often referred to as whales. Data from Glassnode and Santiment reveals a notable trend: whales and sharks (holding 10-10,000 BTC) have accumulated 83,105 BTC over the past 30 days, contrasting sharply with the relatively small sell-off by retail investors (less than 0.1 BTC) who dumped only 387 BTC during the same period. This disparity highlights a divergence in investor sentiment and strategic approaches.
The growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, fueled by corporate treasuries adopting BTC and the anticipation of US spot Bitcoin ETFs, contributes to this accumulation trend. These large-scale investments are further solidifying Bitcoin’s position as a mainstream asset, attracting significant capital from diverse sources.
The current bull market differs from previous cycles due to the increased participation of institutional investors. Unlike previous bull runs where retail investors played a more dominant role, the current market showcases a notable shift towards institutional holdings and long-term investment strategies, characterized by reduced selling pressure. This suggests that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a store of value rather than a short-term speculative asset.
The data strongly suggests that the accumulation of Bitcoin by whales and institutional investors signifies a bullish sentiment, although market conditions can change rapidly and unforeseen circumstances can influence prices. Any investment decisions should be made with caution and informed by thorough independent research.